KING of the cards Gavin Murphy (@GamePlanGavin) has lined up a bookings bet from Friday night’s La Liga offering.
Getafe v Real Sociedad | Friday 19.30 | Sky Sports 3
It will soon be time for the winter break in Spain but before that more valuable La Liga points are at stake on Friday night.
Real Sociedad travel to the capital to battle Getafe. Both teams are above the relegation zone but by no means safe. These are the kind of matches where they can obtain some breathing space with a positive result.
I have looked at the past three meetings between these two teams in Madrid and the card totals read 5-8-6 with the average being just over six cards-per-game.
This term the hosts average 3.14 cards-per-game and their Basque visitors 3.21 cards-per-game. That implies 6.35 cards could be expected in this encounter.
On the face of it, referee Pedro Perez Montero looks a lenient official when you see he averages around 5.3 cards-per-game.
However, those stats include games involving Barcelona and Atletico Madrid. The big teams in Spain usually blow smaller teams away and lesser cards are given.
In games not involving the ‘Big-Three’ this referee averages 6.6 cards-per-game.
Williams Hill price this up as an 8/13 shot so it will be interesting to see if Bet365′s 5/6 on Over 5.5 cards lasts. It looks good value and I am backing it
Getafe v Real Sociedad – Over 5.5 Cards (5/6 Bet365)
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