NFL Tips | 29th November 2015


ANOTHER busy Sunday in the NFL. Louis Ross (@LouisRoss67) has picked out his three best bets for us.

New York Giants @ Washington Redskins | Sunday 18:00 | Sky Sports 1

Another NFC East matchup where the two sides cannot stand each other. That seems to be the way with all four teams in this division. Only the NFC North matches it in that respect. Straight off the bat here, I’m expecting a shoot out.

Kirk Cousins is not an elite Quarterback (I’m not sure Eli is either TBH) but he has a surprisingly good record at home. 4-1 with 10 touchdowns.

Washington took New Orleans apart recently and this game is absolutely vital in the race for the play-offs. Both teams are absolutely desperate for the win.

Neither defence is particularly great, although I like NY better and expect them to sneak a win here. Both are capable of scoring 40 points and conceding the same. I really like Overs on points here. 46.5 seems very low to me.

Tampa Bay Bucaneers @ Indianapolis Colts | Sunday 18:00

So like many, I have got the Bucs wrong several times this season. They cost many an acca with their romp in Philadelphia and amongst the Chip Kelly fallout, Tampa’s actual performance was lost. Rookie Jameis Winston equalled a record with a five touchdown game in his first season. Doug Martin has had another of his 200 yard games and probably most surprising of all, the defence is ranked 13th.

Indy top the AFC South with a 5-5 record. I would expect Houston to win today and a defeat here could be a disaster for the Colts post season hopes.

Losing Andrew Luck for the second time this season hurt bad. Matt Hasselbeck has won some games but averages just 6.5 yards per throw. They could not have recovered from 7-21 against anyone but the Falcons last week. I’m very tempted here by outright win on Tampa but I am playing safe with a surprising +3 handicap start.

Minnesota Vikings @ Atlanta Falcons | Sunday 18:00

Back to my old favourites in Georgia. Nope, I haven’t lost my mind. No chance of me tipping Atlanta again. That loss at home to Indy from a 21-7 lead was it for me and the Falcons. You know what’s going to happen here right? I’m going to make the perfectly reasonable pick of the Vikings and those damn Falcons are going to bite me. You just can’t see this game any other way though can you? I’ve tried but the Vikes win.

Adrian Peterson back from his season long ban is back to his Hall Of Fame career. 100 yard games almost every week. Teddy Bridgewater is a decent game manager and Kyle Rudolph and Steffon Diggs have given him lots of options.

Matt Ryan has thrown 13 INTs in his last 10 games, Devonta Freeman the league’s leading Rusher early on his out and Tevin Coleman has a few ball protection issues. Minnesota all day long. I can see a 10 point win here but once again, I am happy with +2 at odds of 10/11.

In the late games, I really like Arizona to walk all over San Francisco but I’m not a fan of double digit handicaps. Carson Palmer is my starting Quarterback in Fantasy this week and his Passing Line should be included as Overs in any Player Prop bets.

Best Bets

New York Giants @ Washington Redskins – Over 46.5 Points (10/11 Skybet)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Indianapolis Colts – Tampa Bay +3 (20/23 Bet365)

Minnesota Vikings @ Atlanta Falcons – Minnesota +2 (20/21 Sportingbet)

Channel 4/1 Free Bet Offer at Bet365

Back a winner at 4/1 or more on a Channel 4 race and get a free bet to the same stake exclusively at Bet365.


About Author

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I have been interested in betting since a stint managing a bookmakers 20 years ago. I now work in the travel industry but spend 90% of my day thinking (and talking)about sport. Rarely missing an Arsenal home game, I still find time for my 25 year obsession with the NFL and the Chicago Bears in particular. I'm still stuck in the 80's and can't find anything better to listen to than The Jam or The Smiths. I am a stats junkie where the NFL is concerned and there is no sport in the world where they matter more. My mission is to convert you all to a wonderful sport. Oh and win a few quid along the way.

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