CRICKET expert Josh Healey (@JoshHealey04) points us in the right direction of an juicy double from this week’s Test cricket.
Australia v New Zealand | 5th November – 1st December 2015 | Sky Sports 1
There is a lot of Test cricket around the corner. Unfortunately I’ve not had time to assess each and every market, but here is an enticing double that should give us a good run for our money over the coming weeks.
The first leg of the double is Steve Smith to top score in Australia’s Test series v New Zealand which begins on Thursday at midnight.
His individual odds of 2/1 imply a 33.33% chance of winning, but I rate his chances around 10% higher than that. Allow me to bombard you with some stupendous numbers to back that up.
Smith has top scored in 3/8 (37.75%) Test series in which he’s taken full part. Impressively, that includes all of the last three. His meteoric rise has seen him average 78.70 from 2014 onwards.
More specifically, in home series he averages 66.05 from 23 innings. The most recent of which was against India in 2014-15, in which he notched an outrageous 769 runs from eight innings at 128.16.
Smith is going into this series in sublime form, having amassed 435 runs in six innings at 145.00 in Australia’s domestic 50 over competition. Following that he scored a 50 and an unbeaten 150 in the Sheffield Shield.
Furthermore, the newly-made-skipper now has inexperienced Test players and an undercooked David Warner to compete with. This is an entirely new batting line-up and Smith will have to lead it by example.
India v South Africa | 5th November – 7th December 2015
The second leg of the double is Ravi Ashwin to claim top bowler in India’s Test series v South Africa which also gets underway on Thursday, but slightly later at 4am.
Ashwin’s individual odds are 13/8, suggesting a 38.1% chance of winning. But judging by the numbers this leg has a much better chance.
Ashwin has topped the wicket charts in 5/9 (55.56%) series he’s competed in. Another small sample size, one may cry, but averaging 2.79 wickets per innings and with each wicket only costing 28.44 runs, this record is clearly no fluke.
The off-spinner comes into his own on home soil, having claimed top bowler in 4/5 home series (one time coming second to left-arm spinner Pragyan Ojha). And with South Africa lacking a world-class Test spinner, the hosts will not be afraid of preparing pitches that turn even more than usual in order to magnify Ashwin’s threat.
His recent injury may be a concern to some, but it was recently confirmed that he has been bowling well in practice and is ready to go for the first Test. He should be OK.
To wrap up, that’s a pre-series double of Steve Smith top Australia batsman (Test series v New Zealand) and Ravi Ashwin top India bowler (Test series v South Africa). SkyBet offer 6.88/1.
I’m not a big fan of multiples, but boosting the odds and lowering the stake on two short-price-favourites is the logical thing to do for what will be a month long investment.
Steve Smith top Australian batsman and Ravi Ashwin top Indian bowler (6.88/1 double SkyBet)
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