NFL Tips | 25th October 2015

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NFL nut Louis Ross (@LouisRoss67) is back with his three best bets from Sunday’s NFL.

Buffalo Bills @ Jacksonville Jaguars | Sunday 13:30 | BBC Two

The NFL comes to London for the second of three regular season games. The Jags continue to try to make themselves ‘London’s Team’ with a home game here for the third year in a row.

Facing a Buffalo team that continues to frustrate, this could be a long afternoon for Jacksonville. For all their talent on both sides of the ball, the Bills have been both inconsistent and a little unlucky with injuries.

They start this game without Tyrod Taylor, Karlos Williams  and Sammy Watkins. That severely limits options for the offence and LeSean McCoy should see plenty of action at Wembley.

Buffalo rank seventh on rushing, whilst the Jags are giving up over 100 yards per game on the ground. With Shady the only real option for EJ Manuel to hand the ball off to, I am taking the Overs on a line of just 70.5 with Bet365. It is over 80 everywhere else.

New Orleans Saints @ Indianapolis Colts | Sunday 17:00

The Saints pulled off a bit of a shock last time out, inflicting a first defeat of the season on Atlanta. In truth, the loss was down to a Falcons offence that could not keep the ball.

Indy have really struggled through the first five weeks. Andrew Luck was giving the ball away at a concerningly high rate long before injury brought the ancient Matt Hasslebeck back to big time football. To be fair, the old man did a pretty decent job.

Neither offence has done anything like you would have expected in 2015. Averaging 21 points PR game, the Colts rank a lowly 19th on Total Offence. The Saints are surprisingly as high as seventh in that category but still only score around 23 per game. The Total Line here looks quite high to me with Luck still finding his feet after the lay off. I will certainly play unders.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Kansas City Chiefs | Sunday 17:00

I have to put a slight question mark on this pick as I am expecting Ben Roethlisberger to return for the Steelers. He clearly improves that offence 100% and they would not be half as attractive n this game without him.

Pittsburgh were my pick to win the AFC and I am delighted that after an (expected) opening night defeat in New England and serious injury to Big Ben, they are amazingly 4-2.

That offence has so many weapons. Bell, Brown, Bryant etc. I could not be anything like as positive about a Kansas City team that must do without Jamaal Charles for the rest of the season. Charles IS the Chiefs offence.

This is an organisation that went two years without a touchdown from a wide receiver. A very average quarterback, no running game and possibly without their best WR Jeremy Maclin, this just has to be a win for the Steelers.

Best Bets

Buffalo Bills @ Jacksonville Jaguars – LeSean McCoy Over 70.5 Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints @ Indianapolis Colts – Under 52 Points (19/20 Boylesports)

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Kansas City Chiefs – Pittsburgh Steelers to win (13/10 Bet365)

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About Author

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I have been interested in betting since a stint managing a bookmakers 20 years ago. I now work in the travel industry but spend 90% of my day thinking (and talking)about sport. Rarely missing an Arsenal home game, I still find time for my 25 year obsession with the NFL and the Chicago Bears in particular. I'm still stuck in the 80's and can't find anything better to listen to than The Jam or The Smiths. I am a stats junkie where the NFL is concerned and there is no sport in the world where they matter more. My mission is to convert you all to a wonderful sport. Oh and win a few quid along the way.

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