CRICKET boff Josh Healey (@JoshHealey04) was desperate to share a few fancies from Tuesday’s one-day action.
Gloucestershire v Durham | Tuesday 10.30
The RLODC fixtures are coming thick and fast with the group stages now more than half completed. After several games, individual player form is now easier to analyse and so I turn towards one of my favourites – Bet365’s ‘player performance’ market.
Purely by coincidence, both performance bets come from Bristol where Gloucestershire host reigning champions Durham in one of two 10.30am starts on Tuesday morning.
Firstly, the hosts’ bit-part all-rounder Kieran Noema-Barnett has his line set at 35.5; I’m looking to take that on. The New Zealander will bowl a few overs of his tame medium pace before coming in to bat anywhere between six and eight. For me, he excels in neither department and may have little impact in this outing.
Noema-Barnett has accumulated point tallies of 0, 3 and 34 in the RLODC so far. Meanwhile, assessing his form in the shorter format provides further encouragement. In the T20 Blast his point scores read: 0, 30, 3, 0, 16, 5, 4, 0 and 3.
Including both formats it’s a bet that would’ve landed in 12/12. Even if you reduced the line to 16.5 for the T20s, it still would’ve landed in 8/9 there. Durham should be able to nullify a man who has struggled to make the cut here in England.
Secondly, turning my attention to the visitors, it’s baffling to see Scott Borthwick’s line lower than that of Noema-Barnett. A line of 31.5 for the Durham all-rounder looks pretty favourable, and I’m looking to back overs here.
Durham didn’t treat Borthwick too well in this competition last season; he was continuously thrown up and down the order whilst being shown little faith with the ball. It’s been a different story this campaign however, as the all-rounder has claimed the number three spot as well as being given more responsibility with the ball.
Borthwick’s point tallies this season read: 47, 86, 57 and 52. Therefore it’s a bet that would’ve landed in 4/4 this season. Although not in scintillating form he has chipped away with some respectable scores, taken a wicket in 3/4 games, as well as taking several catches. For a player likely to be heavily involved in the game, this line looks well within reach.
Lancashire v Nottinghamshire | Tuesday 10.30 and Surrey Worcestershire | Tuesday 14.00 | Sky Sports 2
Finally, there’s a win double that stands out, and it wouldn’t take a genius to pick it. Where in T20 backing the favourite is a risky game, in the 50-over competition it can be a more trustworthy ploy. I’m putting my faith in Nottinghamshire and Surrey maintaining their respective unbeaten runs; combined as a double they provide odds of 2.43 with William Hill.
Notts’ star studded lineup travels to Liverpool to take on a Lancashire side which is distinctly average in this format. In the RLODC last season Lancs lost 5/7 matches, and they have begun this season in similar fashion having lost 2/3 so far. In stark contrast, Notts have won 4/4 and their superior quality should shine through here.
Following a similar theme, Surrey’s big guns have fired them to 4/4 victories up to now, and they host bottom of the table Worcestershire who have lost 3/3. Again, it seems likely that the side with the added quality will prevail. As with Notts, Surrey boast international stars to trump their opponents.
I certainly would not be siding with these prices in the T20 Blast, but the prolonged 50 over format can expose the gulf in class between sides in a more noticeable fashion. Notts and Surrey, the two stand out teams of the competition so far, will be looking to secure their quarter-final spots as soon as possible, so don’t expect any complacency from either.
Gloucestershire v Durham – Kieran Noema-Barnett Under 36 performance points (5/6 Bet365
Gloucestershire v Durham – Scott Borthwick 32 and Over performance points (5/6 Bet365)
Nottinghamshire and Surrey win double (2.43 William Hill)