AFTER calling the Test Series spot on, Josh Healey (@joshhealey04) now tackles the England v NZ One Day Series.
England v New Zealand | One Day Series | 9th-20th June 2015
After an enthralling Test series which ended in a 1-1 draw, both sides will be keen to stamp their authority in this five match ODI series. It’s no surprise that New Zealand go into it as 1/2 favourites, especially when you consider their impressive one-day record on English soil.
They won 2-1 in a three match series in 2013; 3-1 in a five match series in 2008; and also won a tri-series in 2004 beating England on 2/2 occasions.
The tourists have a settled side which reached the World Cup Final in exuberant fashion, whilst England are finally starting afresh after two years of abysmal performances in this format. The hosts have lost all of their last four ODI series on home soil, and were knocked out at the group stage of the World Cup in embarrassing fashion.
If we’re saying NZ are going to win the series then it’s one of either 5-0, 4-1, or 3-2. 5-0 (at 8/1) can be ruled out as the last time England were whitewashed at home was in 2006 v Sri Lanka, meanwhile 3-2 (at 9/4) is putting too much faith in this new-look, inexperienced England side.
That leaves 4-1, available at 3/1 with Bet365, as the most appealing option (please note this bet will be made void if any matches are abandoned).
Although the new additions should make England a better side, it will take time for those players to settle in. Their lack of international experience will play into the hands of the tourists, whose superiority should prevail, but the hosts surely have enough quality in their ranks to get the better of NZ on one occasion.
England top series batsman is an interesting market as no one is entirely sure who will play and what the batting order will be. This means there’s some value to be had though, and I think I’ve found that in Jos Buttler, who can be backed at huge odds of 20/1 with PaddyPower.
Buttler has taken full part in 11 ODI series/tournaments, top scoring in two, both of which took place in England. More recently he notched 163 runs in the Test series, including a resilient 73 last time out, and there’s no reason why he can’t better this form in the ODI series.
A lot of people – both fans and pundits – have been calling for Buttler to be promoted up the order, and I have a feeling that will happen here. Of course this is just a hunch, but given that he’s comfortably one of the best batsmen in the side I can’t see him being wasted at number 7.
If this hunch is proved correct then Buttler will have a greater chance of racking up the runs, but even if not he still provides the stand-out value in this series.
I wanted to get this preview out early doors so people can capitalise on the 20/1 price on Buttler, which is unlikely to last. As a result I’m looking at adding another pick or two to this preview over the next few days, so keep an eye out for that.
England v New Zealand One Day Series – New Zealand to win 4-1 (3/1 Bet365)
England v New Zealand One Day Series – Jos Buttler Top England series batsman (20/1 PaddyPower)
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