NFL Tips | 11th January 2015 | Sky Sports 3

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ANOTHER massive night in the NFL! We got Louis Ross (KingLouis2105) to give us his thoughts on both play-off games.

Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers | Sunday 18:05 | Sky Sport 3

The Divisional round is where things start to get serious in the NFL Playoffs. These games are normally amongst the seasons highlights and this game should be right up there. Dallas and their perfect road record of 8-0 are up against a Green Bay side who are undefeated at home.

After a lacklustre first quarter at home to Detroit last weekend, the Cowboys got DeMarco Murray going which opened up the passing game. It was an impressive come from behind win by Tony Romo and his Offensive Line but ultimately relied on a perfectly good Defensive Pass Interference call against Dallas being overturned in the 4th quarter.

However, you have to question the Dallas defence which never looked too comfortable, Matthew Stafford will not be happy to have lost that game. You would imagine Aaron Rodgers must be relishing going up against the Cowboys Secondary.

Jordy Nelson could have a huge game and a fit and fresh Eddie Lacy is a huge plus for the Green Bay Rushing game and ultimately Rodgers passing options.

I really love Green Bay here in a high scoring affair, but Dallas’ best option to win this is to limit the time Green Bay have the ball. The best way to do that, against the 23rd ranked Rush Defence when you have the 2nd ranked Rush Offence? DeMarco Murray is what you do. Over 100 yards for Murray (11/10) is my bet here.

Indianapolis Colts @ Denver Broncos | Sunday 21:40 | Sky Sports 3

What a game to finish. Most of the points I got in NFL Fantasy this year were from these two teams, so I’ve watched a huge amount of both.

Andrew Luck was a points machine at QB and was immense last Sunday against the Bengals. The Colts made the most of the open goal they were presented with when AJ Green & Jermaine Gresham were not passed fit to play late on.

Who doesn’t love Peyton Manning? The guy is a legend and I would love to see him win another Super Bowl before he finally rides off into the sunset. He really does have the weapons to do it as well.

Bob Sanders and the two Thomas’ have been unplayable at times this year. Losing Julius at Tight End for the last six weeks of the season was huge but at the same time, they discovered C J Anderson when the top 2 Running Backs went down with injury. Anderson has been huge both in the Rushing game and also catching balls.

This cannot be anything but a shootout between two gunslinging quarterbacks. I like the guy with the biggest gun. Luck has TY Hilton, a couple of average Tight Ends and that’s about it. Manning has options everywhere and the one thing you can’t buy, experience. It has to be Denver, and I think by 10 plus, Denver -7 at 5/6 is my choice here.

Best Bets

Dallas @ Green Bay – De Marco Murray Over 100.5 Rushing Yards (11/10 Stan James)

Indianapolis @ Denver – Denver -7 (5/6 Bet365)

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I have been interested in betting since a stint managing a bookmakers 20 years ago. I now work in the travel industry but spend 90% of my day thinking (and talking)about sport. Rarely missing an Arsenal home game, I still find time for my 25 year obsession with the NFL and the Chicago Bears in particular. I'm still stuck in the 80's and can't find anything better to listen to than The Jam or The Smiths. I am a stats junkie where the NFL is concerned and there is no sport in the world where they matter more. My mission is to convert you all to a wonderful sport. Oh and win a few quid along the way.

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