Arizona Cardinals @ St Louis Rams | 12th December 2014 | Sky Sports 1

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HE got off to a flyer for us last week, and Louis Ross (@KingLouis2105) is back with a Thursday night NFL pick here.

Arizona Cardinals @ St Louis Rams | Friday 01:25 | Sky Sports 1

We had a great start last week courtesy of the St Louis Rams. Tipped at -3, they sailed through in a 24 point blowout. Lovely stuff.

I’ve got St Louis on my mind right now as I’ll be covering Thursday Night Football for the rest of this season, and I’m delighted the first game involves them.

I discussed this game with THE expert @tomselwyn and we were both of the opinion that Over 39.5 points (10/11 Bet365) was a really smart play, but that is not my main bet in this game.

The stats here all point towards the Rams. These teams are closely matched on Offensive Yards Per Game (ARI 325 STL 317) and Defensive Yards Allowed (ARI 344 STL 355) but it is Rushing Yards where we see a difference. 109 Yards per game for St Louis as opposed to 79 for Arizona. That is where I think the game will be decided.

Arizona are missing Andre Ellington for the rest of the year, while Tre Mason is on fire for the Rams. As the Cardinals don’t throw the ball too much, they could struggle to put points on the board.

I cannot see past the Rams (-4.5) at 10/11 with BetVictor and Tre Mason first TD scorer for St Louis is a very tempting 7/1 with Ladbrokes.

Best Bet

Arizona Cardinals @ St Louis Rams – St Louis -4.5 (10/11 BetVictor)

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I have been interested in betting since a stint managing a bookmakers 20 years ago. I now work in the travel industry but spend 90% of my day thinking (and talking)about sport. Rarely missing an Arsenal home game, I still find time for my 25 year obsession with the NFL and the Chicago Bears in particular. I'm still stuck in the 80's and can't find anything better to listen to than The Jam or The Smiths. I am a stats junkie where the NFL is concerned and there is no sport in the world where they matter more. My mission is to convert you all to a wonderful sport. Oh and win a few quid along the way.

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